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Who's betting on “Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?

Politics$23K traded76 holdersEnds November 30, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
0%Yes
100%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 41 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$23K
traded all time
Held now
$5.7K
by 76 wallets
Smart share · Yes
59%
64 scored holders
Smart share · No
100%
11 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.

The smart money

59% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points.

Who holds it

76 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is Reph26, with $7 on it, $2.1K lifetime loss over 180 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is HolyMoses7, with $2.2K on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share59%
Holders
65
Money on it
$38
Holders' win rate
52%
No100%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share100%
Holders
11
Money on it
$5.7K
Holders' win rate
55%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$38 on it

  1. 1Reph2682% won of 180$7−$2.1K lifetime
  2. 2lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$3+$1.2M lifetime
  3. 3godblessme202628% won of 23,100 · noise$3+$69K lifetime
  4. 4balthazar53% won of 52,141 · whale$3+$1.2M lifetime
  5. 5Yoel17no record yet$2−$46 lifetime

No$5.7K on it

  1. 1HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$2.2K+$179K lifetime
  2. 2vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$2.0K+$170K lifetime
  3. 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$1.3K+$127K lifetime
  4. 44-testfollower-hm751% won of 427 · balanced$132+$123 lifetime
  5. 5ogi25058% won of 1,030 · balanced$19+$955 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?

76 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 75 of them. The largest Yes holder is Reph26, with $7 on it, $2.1K lifetime loss over 180 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is HolyMoses7, with $2.2K on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

59% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.