Who's betting on “Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?
Smart money leans No: 87% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $45K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.3K by 119 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 88 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points.
Who holds it
119 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960, with $227 on it, $123K lifetime profit over 391 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is lava-lava, with $2.2K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 1,655 markets (47% won).
- Holders
- 91
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $5.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.5K on it
- 10x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-176070367496065% won of 391 · whale$227+$123K lifetime
- 2HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$203+$179K lifetime
- 3mr.ozi64% won of 1,117 · whale$155+$902K lifetime
- 40xF9658C740E471db66F62Ec137157d7B9756dcCB0-172034743090374% won of 227 · balanced$78+$1.4K lifetime
- 5youtube-trader25% won of 8,006$69−$6.5K lifetime
No$5.8K on it
- 1lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$2.2K+$1.2M lifetime
- 2MultiQuant24hAgent68% won of 31 · balanced$1.1K+$2.8K lifetime
- 30xf73f7E9C6bd1f40dC045d2a93BeC3Dd4248AEE577% won of 1,394 · whale$442+$15K lifetime
- 4Bla-48551% won of 967$342−$4.5K lifetime
- 5D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$314+$85K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?
5 more- 5$68K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 7$59K vol.Yes 92%No 8%Smart money: Yes
- 6$44K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- 4$29K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- <4$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
119 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 116 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960, with $227 on it, $123K lifetime profit over 391 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is lava-lava, with $2.2K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 1,655 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.