Who's betting on “Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?
Smart money leans No: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $44K traded all time
- Held now
- $12K by 144 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 81 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 50 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points.
Who holds it
144 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 131 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-1730831637679, with $210 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 35 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960, with $4.6K on it, $123K lifetime profit over 391 markets (65% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes; 2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $607 on No.
- Holders
- 91
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 2 · $607
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.1K on it
- 10xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-173083163767946% won of 35 · noise$210+$91K lifetime
- 2dhadad0156% won of 173 · balanced$154+$2.9K lifetime
- 3HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$116+$179K lifetime
- 40x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-177066559855759% won of 440$89−$37K lifetime
- 50x69Bd16636702559651a8fbB06eF8dcde817247Cb-177452177176894% won of 140$77−$1.9K lifetime
No$11K on it
- 10x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-176070367496065% won of 391 · whale$4.6K+$123K lifetime
- 2mr.ozi64% won of 1,117 · whale$1.3K+$902K lifetime
- 3melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$1.2K+$56K lifetime
- 4Bla-48551% won of 967$827−$4.5K lifetime
- 5Bitao97% won of 12,600 · whale$483+$13K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?
5 more- 5$68K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 7$59K vol.Yes 92%No 8%Smart money: Yes
- 8+$45K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- 4$29K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- <4$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
144 wallets hold a position worth $12K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 131 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-1730831637679, with $210 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 35 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is 0x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-1760703674960, with $4.6K on it, $123K lifetime profit over 391 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.