Who's betting on “Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $68K traded all time
- Held now
- $28K by 111 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 66 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 77% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $68K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 75 points.
Who holds it
111 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 104 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-1730831637679, with $133 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 35 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is mr.ozi, with $11K on it, $902K lifetime profit over 1,117 markets (64% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $4 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $118 on No.
- Holders
- 72
- Money on it
- $355
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
- Snipers
- 1 · $4
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $28K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 1 · $118
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$355 on it
- 10xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-173083163767946% won of 35 · noise$133+$91K lifetime
- 2lava-lava47% won of 1,655 · whale$112+$1.2M lifetime
- 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$21+$334K lifetime
- 4fiter17% won of 842 · noise$13+$50K lifetime
- 5TimeTraveler88% won of 1,370 · whale$11+$143K lifetime
No$28K on it
- 1mr.ozi64% won of 1,117 · whale$11K+$902K lifetime
- 20x6bAB66c4BB24c96Ed14dccA0f0979B38a6830FE5-176070367496065% won of 391 · whale$5.6K+$123K lifetime
- 30x25db6cA5935ae858A5c1F2dCD5c62939805328dE-177066559855759% won of 440$4.5K−$37K lifetime
- 4melonmanm58% won of 986 · whale$1.8K+$56K lifetime
- 5qizhan48% won of 21 · noise$1.4K+$36K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?
5 more- 7$59K vol.Yes 92%No 8%Smart money: Yes
- 8+$45K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- 6$44K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- 4$29K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- <4$23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
111 wallets hold a position worth $28K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 104 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe312101A6EA5c00821B74e2855c2674147B2e0b2-1730831637679, with $133 on it, $91K lifetime profit over 35 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is mr.ozi, with $11K on it, $902K lifetime profit over 1,117 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $68K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 75 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.