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Who's betting on “Will MUNDO-GB
 win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?”?

Politics$23K traded90 holdersEnds November 24, 2025Updated October 29, 2026
0%Yes
100%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 26 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$23K
traded all time
Held now
$4.9K
by 90 wallets
Smart share · Yes
70%
64 scored holders
Smart share · No
96%
26 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 24, 2025.

The smart money

70% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.

Who holds it

90 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them. The largest Yes holder is flexer78, with $9 on it, $805 lifetime profit over 4,319 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is check12345, with $4.6K on it, $25K lifetime profit over 200 markets (73% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share70%
7 days ago 72%a day ago 70%now 70%
Holders
64
Money on it
$20
Holders' win rate
51%
No100%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share96%
7 days ago 96%a day ago 96%now 96%
Holders
26
Money on it
$4.9K
Holders' win rate
71%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$20 on it

  1. 1flexer7836% won of 4,319 · noise$9+$805 lifetime
  2. 2wokerjoesleeper91% won of 1,109 · whale$2+$605K lifetime
  3. 3Hopeloid67% won of 3$2−$223 lifetime
  4. 4frostedtipped47% won of 15$1−$133 lifetime
  5. 50xA8C06c3632D7489d2e38d210c9e8457809804D95-174887225469350% won of 200$1−$11 lifetime

No$4.9K on it

  1. 1check1234573% won of 200 · whale$4.6K+$25K lifetime
  2. 2snkmkt38% won of 8$100−$381 lifetime
  3. 3donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$42+$829K lifetime
  4. 4lissartter56% won of 2,997$25−$287K lifetime
  5. 5itsjustcheddar59% won of 595 · whale$20+$8.6K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will MUNDO-GB
 win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?"?

90 wallets hold a position worth $4.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 90 of them. The largest Yes holder is flexer78, with $9 on it, $805 lifetime profit over 4,319 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is check12345, with $4.6K on it, $25K lifetime profit over 200 markets (73% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will MUNDO-GB
 win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $23K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 24, 2025.

Which side is the smart money on?

70% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 26 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 26 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 24, 2025. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.