Who's betting on “Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?”?
Smart money leans No: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $27K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.2K by 237 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 66% 93 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 72% 144 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 24, 2025.
The smart money
66% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
237 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 237 of them. The largest Yes holder is planktonXD, with $37 on it, $132K lifetime profit over 6,321 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is check12345, with $2.4K on it, $25K lifetime profit over 200 markets (73% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $30 on Yes.
- Holders
- 93
- Money on it
- $265
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 1 · $30
- Holders
- 144
- Money on it
- $3.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 82%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$265 on it
- 1planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$37+$132K lifetime
- 2FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$30+$244K lifetime
- 3donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$22+$829K lifetime
- 4atomicannie31% won of 202 · noise$19+$6.8K lifetime
- 5Aman880842% won of 200$12−$751 lifetime
No$3.9K on it
- 1check1234573% won of 200 · whale$2.4K+$25K lifetime
- 2hksjhl0419100% won of 276 · grinder$242+$99 lifetime
- 30x0d5Ed30C586BB273fc8090610C9fb61C802F0234-1766469127506100% won of 270$123−$407 lifetime
- 4sdoezn100% won of 200$101−$275 lifetime
- 50xb229…bc44100% won of 200$95−$80 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
5 more- Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”$49K vol.Yes 28%No 72%Smart money: No
- FREPASNA$27K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- MUNDO-GB $23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- PT$22K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
- FLING$13K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?"?
237 wallets hold a position worth $4.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 237 of them. The largest Yes holder is planktonXD, with $37 on it, $132K lifetime profit over 6,321 markets (76% won). The largest No holder is check12345, with $2.4K on it, $25K lifetime profit over 200 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 24, 2025.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 24, 2025. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.