Who's betting on “Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?”?
Smart money leans No: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $27K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.7K by 105 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 67 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 97% 38 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 24, 2025.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
Who holds it
105 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 105 of them. The largest Yes holder is donthackme, with $33 on it, $829K lifetime profit over 87,178 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is check12345, with $2.4K on it, $25K lifetime profit over 200 markets (73% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $4 on Yes.
- Holders
- 67
- Money on it
- $170
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 1 · $4
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $2.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$170 on it
- 1donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$33+$829K lifetime
- 2GamblingCow83% won of 203 · whale$30+$1.0K lifetime
- 3wokerjoesleeper91% won of 1,109 · whale$26+$605K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$8+$254K lifetime
- 50xA8C06c3632D7489d2e38d210c9e8457809804D95-174887225469350% won of 200$7−$11 lifetime
No$2.6K on it
- 1check1234573% won of 200 · whale$2.4K+$25K lifetime
- 20xdc3E831cad55% won of 1,081 · whale$35+$91K lifetime
- 3itsjustcheddar59% won of 595 · whale$19+$8.6K lifetime
- 4dubl156% won of 36$19−$638 lifetime
- 5BrightFizz51% won of 78$10−$33 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
5 more- Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”$49K vol.Yes 28%No 72%Smart money: No
- PS$27K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- MUNDO-GB $23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- PT$22K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
- FLING$13K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?"?
105 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 105 of them. The largest Yes holder is donthackme, with $33 on it, $829K lifetime profit over 87,178 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is check12345, with $2.4K on it, $25K lifetime profit over 200 markets (73% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $27K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 24, 2025.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 97% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 16 points. A week ago, No by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 24, 2025. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.