Who's betting on “Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 77% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 46 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.5K by 181 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 77% 57 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 30% 124 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 24, 2025.
The smart money
77% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 46 points. A week ago, Yes by 46 points.
Who holds it
181 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 181 of them. The largest Yes holder is sssherra, with $48 on it, $9.4K lifetime profit over 201 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is hksjhl0419, with $240 on it, $99 lifetime profit over 276 markets (100% won).
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $210
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 124
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 98%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$210 on it
- 1sssherra43% won of 201 · noise$48+$9.4K lifetime
- 2GamblingCow83% won of 203 · whale$32+$1.0K lifetime
- 3donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$28+$829K lifetime
- 40xA8C06c3632D7489d2e38d210c9e8457809804D95-174887225469350% won of 200$12−$11 lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$9+$254K lifetime
No$1.2K on it
- 1hksjhl0419100% won of 276 · grinder$240+$99 lifetime
- 20x0d5Ed30C586BB273fc8090610C9fb61C802F0234-1766469127506100% won of 270$121−$407 lifetime
- 3sdoezn100% won of 200$100−$275 lifetime
- 40xb229…bc44100% won of 200$94−$80 lifetime
- 50x3844…11b4100% won of 551$69−$185 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner
5 more- Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”$49K vol.Yes 28%No 72%Smart money: No
- FREPASNA$27K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- PS$27K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- MUNDO-GB $23K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- PT$22K vol.Yes 20%No 80%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?"?
181 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 181 of them. The largest Yes holder is sssherra, with $48 on it, $9.4K lifetime profit over 201 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is hksjhl0419, with $240 on it, $99 lifetime profit over 276 markets (100% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 24, 2025.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 46 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 46 points. A week ago, Yes by 46 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 24, 2025. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.