Who's betting on “Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 60% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $84K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.8K by 141 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 33% 60 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 60% 81 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $84K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
33% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 46 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.
Who holds it
141 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 141 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758, with $73 on it, $8.4K lifetime loss over 827 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is iHaveBeenPwned, with $1.3K on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 5 markets (80% won).
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $406
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 81
- Money on it
- $5.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$406 on it
- 10x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-179243706475847% won of 827$73−$8.4K lifetime
- 2tigertest178% won of 9$67−$1.8K lifetime
- 3BikesAreTheBikes65% won of 1,351 · whale$43+$101K lifetime
- 4warptrading90% won of 216$36−$5.4K lifetime
- 5HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$30+$325K lifetime
No$5.4K on it
- 1iHaveBeenPwned80% won of 5$1.3K+$2.3K lifetime
- 2aviato80% won of 1,340 · whale$930+$201K lifetime
- 30x3920ee788E36bbf456bE1Cc8B8f88237b8fEb83C-175009565604080% won of 5$506+$284 lifetime
- 4generalVR74% won of 212 · whale$465+$45K lifetime
- 5DOG69% won of 200 · balanced$314+$999 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?"?
141 wallets hold a position worth $5.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 141 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758, with $73 on it, $8.4K lifetime loss over 827 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is iHaveBeenPwned, with $1.3K on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 5 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $84K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
33% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 46 points. A week ago, No by 33 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.