Who's betting on “Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 36 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $551 by 39 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 55% 10 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 81 points. A week ago, Yes by 80 points.
Who holds it
39 wallets hold a position worth $551 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $35 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is balthazar, with $235 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,375 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $84
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $467
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$84 on it
- 1X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$35+$38K lifetime
- 20x8Df92602EC9c454E8099D9dc4A3F0d21DaA0468C-176685531788349% won of 265 · whale$13+$26K lifetime
- 32B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$7+$97K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$6+$254K lifetime
- 5molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$4+$46K lifetime
No$467 on it
- 1balthazar53% won of 52,375 · whale$235+$1.2M lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,066$118−$49K lifetime
- 3tradetosurvive145% won of 25,230$61−$217K lifetime
- 4neverhackme31% won of 14,830 · noise$20+$7.7K lifetime
- 5davhcc86% won of 133$16−$135 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
1 moreOther big tech markets
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- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?"?
39 wallets hold a position worth $551 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $35 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is balthazar, with $235 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,375 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 55% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 81 points. A week ago, Yes by 80 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.