Who's betting on “Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 97% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 30 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $15K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.3K by 59 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 97% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 67% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 80¢ and No at 21¢, an 80% implied chance of Yes. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
97% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 49 points. A week ago, Yes by 54 points.
Who holds it
59 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xA2770432A5E6Bd24c347c976b0D815db1f2C1182-1760945846787, with $1.2K on it, $10K lifetime profit over 171 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is balthazar, with $149 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,375 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $2.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $386
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.9K on it
- 10xA2770432A5E6Bd24c347c976b0D815db1f2C1182-176094584678764% won of 171 · balanced$1.2K+$10K lifetime
- 2X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$477+$38K lifetime
- 3molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$398+$46K lifetime
- 4lightsout91281% won of 273 · balanced$281+$3.5K lifetime
- 5recallcp100% won of 11$231+$388 lifetime
No$386 on it
- 1balthazar53% won of 52,375 · whale$149+$1.2M lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$49−$377K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$33+$254K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,827 · noise$21+$27K lifetime
- 5NotAnIdiot48% won of 1,435 · balanced$21+$1.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
2 moreOther big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?"?
59 wallets hold a position worth $3.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xA2770432A5E6Bd24c347c976b0D815db1f2C1182-1760945846787, with $1.2K on it, $10K lifetime profit over 171 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is balthazar, with $149 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,375 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 80¢ and No at 21¢, an 80% implied chance of Yes. $15K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
97% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 49 points. A week ago, Yes by 54 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.