Who's betting on “Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 65% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 15 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $18K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.3K by 60 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 50% 38 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 65% 22 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 90¢ and No at 10¢, a 90% implied chance of Yes. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
50% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
60 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $532 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $64 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,242 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $2.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $111
- Holders' win rate
- 44%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.2K on it
- 1X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$532+$38K lifetime
- 2PavtheGreat51% won of 296$338−$2.4K lifetime
- 3tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$327−$217K lifetime
- 4SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$178+$203K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$154−$377K lifetime
No$111 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$64+$255K lifetime
- 2Dapsy51% won of 919$14−$73K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,151$10−$48K lifetime
- 4lissartter56% won of 2,997$5−$287K lifetime
- 5Fihdrzgdd40% won of 3,576$4−$20K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
1 moreOther big tech markets
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- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
60 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 60 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $532 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $64 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,242 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 90¢ and No at 10¢, a 90% implied chance of Yes. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
50% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 15 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.