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Who's betting on “Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?”?

Politics$11K traded37 holdersEnds March 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
1%Yes
99%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 44 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$11K
traded all time
Held now
$514
by 37 wallets
Smart share · Yes
45%
27 scored holders
Smart share · No
90%
10 scored holders
📈 Open the live signal🔔 Alert me when smart money moves

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.

The smart money

45% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points.

Who holds it

37 wallets hold a position worth $514 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $3 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,242 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is ggvipi, with $383 on it, $116K lifetime profit over 1,105 markets (55% won).

Yes1%
Smart money share45% ▲ 5 pts in 24 h
a day ago 40%now 45%
Holders
27
Money on it
$13
Holders' win rate
47%
No99%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share90%
a day ago 89%now 90%
Holders
10
Money on it
$501
Holders' win rate
53%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$13 on it

  1. 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$3+$255K lifetime
  2. 2SotoFund67% won of 6$2−$126 lifetime
  3. 30xac4C59f411FDdED473d9e9fF5dcB2C930925B2f5-174967683239550% won of 8$1−$2.2K lifetime
  4. 4youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$1−$6.5K lifetime
  5. 5rocky4201452% won of 1,082 · whale$1+$7.3K lifetime

No$501 on it

  1. 1ggvipi55% won of 1,105 · whale$383+$116K lifetime
  2. 2Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,906 · whale$45+$163K lifetime
  3. 3cigarettes46% won of 49,151$40−$48K lifetime
  4. 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$21+$334K lifetime
  5. 5Amotsbermanno record yet$12−$456 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?"?

37 wallets hold a position worth $514 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $3 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,242 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is ggvipi, with $383 on it, $116K lifetime profit over 1,105 markets (55% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

45% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.