Who's betting on “Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 62% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $39K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 57 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 62% 40 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 52% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
62% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 8 points. A week ago, Yes by 22 points.
Who holds it
57 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $78 on it, $334K lifetime profit over 12,148 markets (23% won). The largest No holder is M2sx92kljs42, with $897 on it, $61K lifetime profit over 517 markets (78% won).
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $268
- Holders' win rate
- 39%
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$268 on it
- 10xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$78+$334K lifetime
- 2FrancoOmer0% won of 3$59−$251 lifetime
- 30x98894006D4846E15d4c7B52Fb6c79525Fc049693-1776260520179100% won of 1$32+$23 lifetime
- 4HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$28+$325K lifetime
- 5hfv42% won of 44,548$13−$143K lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 1M2sx92kljs4278% won of 517 · whale$897+$61K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$804−$377K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,080$37−$49K lifetime
- 4rocky4201452% won of 1,082 · whale$30+$7.3K lifetime
- 5youtube-trader25% won of 8,026$25−$6.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
3 more- No Next Minister by Feb 28$76K vol.Yes 45%No 55%Smart money split
- Naftali Bennett$20K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Ofer Winter$11K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?"?
57 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 56 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $78 on it, $334K lifetime profit over 12,148 markets (23% won). The largest No holder is M2sx92kljs42, with $897 on it, $61K lifetime profit over 517 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 93¢, a 93% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
62% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 8 points. A week ago, Yes by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.