Who's betting on “Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $76K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.5K by 84 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 69% 43 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 70% 40 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 45¢ and No at 55¢, a 55% implied chance of No. $76K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
69% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 52 points.
Who holds it
84 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is HolyMoses7, with $634 on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is HerrieDavis, with $207 on it, $325K lifetime profit over 2,687 markets (63% won).
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $839
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.6K on it
- 1HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$634+$179K lifetime
- 20x49F20662% won of 862$205−$41K lifetime
- 3BikesAreTheBikes65% won of 1,351 · whale$178+$101K lifetime
- 4crypto-basenji47% won of 409 · whale$164+$3.6K lifetime
- 5rafi10073% won of 66 · balanced$95+$77 lifetime
No$839 on it
- 1HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$207+$325K lifetime
- 20x6EAD18ED0A6dd44425E26Db30dB9eb5a28A914F8-177282385276862% won of 210 · balanced$99+$1.2K lifetime
- 3OnlyInGodWeTrust43% won of 225 · noise$81+$495 lifetime
- 4PABLOESCOBAR2562% won of 358$76−$900 lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$71+$255K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
3 more- Avigdor Lieberman$39K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Naftali Bennett$20K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Ofer Winter$11K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?"?
84 wallets hold a position worth $2.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is HolyMoses7, with $634 on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is HerrieDavis, with $207 on it, $325K lifetime profit over 2,687 markets (63% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 45¢ and No at 55¢, a 55% implied chance of No. $76K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 70% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 52 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.