Who's betting on “Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?”?
Smart money leans No: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 35 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $313 by 49 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 45% 40 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 80% 9 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
45% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.
Who holds it
49 wallets hold a position worth $313 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $29 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,242 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $135 on it, $334K lifetime profit over 12,148 markets (23% won).
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $120
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $194
- Holders' win rate
- 30%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$120 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$29+$255K lifetime
- 20x8C0985F6D7C3E1ec508319067972ffC76A64bC44-176735132676169% won of 13$24−$138 lifetime
- 30xFb9944072f14Fa97051ec6407717cE53b3dc4CED-1760033104562100% won of 8$15−$107 lifetime
- 40xB8eE94bD599A92D4747DdA5f3bc6D2B243349e81-176594332681137% won of 6,419 · noise$6+$20K lifetime
- 5planktonXD76% won of 6,321 · whale$5+$132K lifetime
No$194 on it
- 10xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$135+$334K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,151$38−$48K lifetime
- 3aaadda46% won of 4,487 · balanced$9+$782 lifetime
- 4ddd333aaa45% won of 4,329 · balanced$9+$1.2K lifetime
- 5galhammerman29% won of 7,112$1−$28K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
3 more- No Next Minister by Feb 28$76K vol.Yes 45%No 55%Smart money split
- Avigdor Lieberman$39K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Ofer Winter$11K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
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- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?"?
49 wallets hold a position worth $313 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 49 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $29 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,242 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495, with $135 on it, $334K lifetime profit over 12,148 markets (23% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
45% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.