Who's betting on “Will New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 28 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $12 by 50 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 46 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 4 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points.
Who holds it
50 wallets hold a position worth $12 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is leegunner, with $3 on it, $384K lifetime profit over 1,144 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is 0xe600…a907, with $1 on it, $126 lifetime profit over 293 markets (87% won).
- Holders
- 46
- Money on it
- $11
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
- Holders
- 4
- Money on it
- $2
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$11 on it
- 1leegunner73% won of 1,144 · whale$3+$384K lifetime
- 2camuno32% won of 160$1−$151 lifetime
- 3balthazar53% won of 52,570 · whale$1+$1.2M lifetime
- 40xF03D13c94373E052a177601419291Ce2FAfE21Fb-176952655872435% won of 254$1−$727 lifetime
- 5Drangtian58% won of 12$0−$554 lifetime
No$2 on it
- 10xe600…a90787% won of 293$1+$126 lifetime
- 20xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-177881046449310% won of 33,616 · noise$1+$21K lifetime
- 3donthackme29% won of 87,062 · noise$0+$829K lifetime
- 40x0d16879780c9A5b58D53effA65FA126E4c1C064F-176770317479379% won of 237 · balanced$0+$850 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in New Zealand legislative election winner?
4 more- National Party$52K vol.Yes 66%No 34%Smart money: Yes
- Labour Party$32K vol.Yes 34%No 67%Smart money: Yes
- Te Pāti Māori$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Green Party$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?"?
50 wallets hold a position worth $12 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is leegunner, with $3 on it, $384K lifetime profit over 1,144 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is 0xe600…a907, with $1 on it, $126 lifetime profit over 293 markets (87% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will New Zealand First Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.