Who's betting on “Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 38 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $32K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.6K by 79 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 53 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 34% 26 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 34¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 34% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 35 points.
Who holds it
79 wallets hold a position worth $6.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $1.3K on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $717 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $258 on No.
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $4.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $258
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.6K on it
- 1RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$1.3K+$819K lifetime
- 274-7541% won of 94$408−$2.5K lifetime
- 3probability31% won of 3,325 · noise$357+$118K lifetime
- 4trashtier34% won of 2,147 · noise$279+$28K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$278−$377K lifetime
No$2.0K on it
- 1Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$717−$59K lifetime
- 2singularityman76% won of 360 · sniper$258+$78K lifetime
- 3GUINESS12370% won of 547$257−$59K lifetime
- 4leegunner73% won of 1,144 · whale$227+$384K lifetime
- 5TheImpasse21% won of 1,280$139−$142K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in New Zealand legislative election winner?
4 more- National Party$52K vol.Yes 66%No 34%Smart money: Yes
- Te Pāti Māori$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Green Party$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- New Zealand First Party$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?"?
79 wallets hold a position worth $6.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 79 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $1.3K on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is Hyperlong, with $717 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 34¢ and No at 66¢, a 66% implied chance of No. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 34% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago, Yes by 35 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.