Who's betting on “Will Green Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $6 by 43 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 90% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 93% 5 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.
The smart money
90% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
Who holds it
43 wallets hold a position worth $6 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is leegunner, with $3 on it, $384K lifetime profit over 1,144 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493, with $1 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 33,616 markets (10% won).
- Holders
- 38
- Money on it
- $5
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
- Holders
- 5
- Money on it
- $1
- Holders' win rate
- 15%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5 on it
- 1leegunner73% won of 1,144 · whale$3+$384K lifetime
- 2balthazar53% won of 52,447 · whale$1+$1.2M lifetime
- 3Zypf784% won of 339 · whale$0+$5.0K lifetime
- 4Drangtian58% won of 12$0−$554 lifetime
- 50xaf88…b854no record yet$0
No$1 on it
- 10xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-177881046449310% won of 33,616 · noise$1+$21K lifetime
- 2mustbethewater45% won of 27,233 · whale$0+$74K lifetime
- 3sebelmaestro0% won of 446$0−$8.5K lifetime
- 4donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$0+$829K lifetime
- 50x0d16879780c9A5b58D53effA65FA126E4c1C064F-176770317479379% won of 237 · balanced$0+$850 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in New Zealand legislative election winner?
4 more- National Party$52K vol.Yes 66%No 34%Smart money: Yes
- Labour Party$32K vol.Yes 34%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- Te Pāti Māori$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- New Zealand First Party$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Green Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?"?
43 wallets hold a position worth $6 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is leegunner, with $3 on it, $384K lifetime profit over 1,144 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is 0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493, with $1 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 33,616 markets (10% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Green Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 93% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.