Who's betting on “Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $111K traded all time
- Held now
- $14K by 194 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 108 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 74% 83 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on September 30, 2026 and resolved No. $111K has been traded on it.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
194 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 191 of them.
- Holders
- 109
- Money on it
- $28
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 85
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' win rate
- 82%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
10 more- Alibaba$233K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Xiaomi$146K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: No
- DeepSeek$90K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Z.ai$76K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Tencent$62K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- ByteDance$55K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Baidu$54K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- MiniMax$51K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Meituan$19K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- StepFun$11K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?"?
194 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 191 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?"?
This market closed on September 30, 2026 and resolved No. $111K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on September 30, 2026 and resolved No. $111K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.