
Who's betting on “Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $10K traded all time
- Held now
- $167 by 55 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 43 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 81% 11 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points.
Who holds it
55 wallets hold a position worth $167 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $12 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 15,759 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $50 on it, $163K lifetime profit over 15,861 markets (56% won).
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $65
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
- Holders
- 11
- Money on it
- $102
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$65 on it
- 1LornaPredicts28% won of 15,759 · noise$12+$27K lifetime
- 2JosephIsGreat39% won of 146$8−$8.6K lifetime
- 3balthazar53% won of 52,319 · whale$6+$1.2M lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,171 · noise$5+$254K lifetime
- 5tradetosurvive145% won of 25,230$4−$217K lifetime
No$102 on it
- 1Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,861 · whale$50+$163K lifetime
- 2molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$27+$46K lifetime
- 3GuyFromTinder37% won of 22,344$18−$89K lifetime
- 42iafdbaoqi493100% won of 25 · grinder$2+$22 lifetime
- 5ngy9ouxing57292% won of 25 · balanced$2+$2 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?"?
55 wallets hold a position worth $167 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 54 of them. The largest Yes holder is LornaPredicts, with $12 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 15,759 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed, with $50 on it, $163K lifetime profit over 15,861 markets (56% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.