Who's betting on “Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.1K by 78 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 70% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 72% 34 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
70% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
Who holds it
78 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $187 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is KiruaTrading, with $625 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 501 markets (64% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $125 on No.
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $890
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Snipers
- 1 · $125
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$890 on it
- 1X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$187+$38K lifetime
- 2Hannah-Montana64% won of 338$155−$7.8K lifetime
- 3SteviaDaddy66% won of 101 · balanced$126+$3.0K lifetime
- 4Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$81+$104K lifetime
- 5PavtheGreat51% won of 296$67−$2.4K lifetime
No$1.2K on it
- 1KiruaTrading64% won of 501 · whale$625+$21K lifetime
- 2fountaim79% won of 157 · sniper$125+$11K lifetime
- 3cigarettes46% won of 49,151$95−$48K lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$69−$217K lifetime
- 5plytest238% won of 599$43−$2.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in #2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
2 moreOther big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
78 wallets hold a position worth $2.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 78 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $187 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is KiruaTrading, with $625 on it, $21K lifetime profit over 501 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 21¢ and No at 79¢, a 79% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
70% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.