Who's betting on “Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 29 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $342 by 50 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 34 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 63% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 17, 2026.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 28 points. A week ago, Yes by 28 points.
Who holds it
50 wallets hold a position worth $342 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $17 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is grinder1011, with $77 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 519 markets (47% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $15 on Yes.
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $120
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Snipers
- 1 · $15
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $222
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$120 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$17+$255K lifetime
- 2FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$15+$244K lifetime
- 3JordanMooney35% won of 2,631 · noise$12+$28K lifetime
- 4caseyn675% won of 63 · balanced$10+$576 lifetime
- 5RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$10+$819K lifetime
No$222 on it
- 1grinder101147% won of 519 · whale$77+$11K lifetime
- 2macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$59−$8.2K lifetime
- 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$48+$334K lifetime
- 4cryptopetrucho67% won of 222$16−$2.0K lifetime
- 5emv00081% won of 74$5−$121 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
3 more- Helen Zille$55K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money: No
- Frank Chikane$31K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Herman Mashaba$17K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?"?
50 wallets hold a position worth $342 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 50 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $17 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is grinder1011, with $77 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 519 markets (47% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 17, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 28 points. A week ago, Yes by 28 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 17, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.