Who's betting on “Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?”?
Smart money leans No: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $55K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.3K by 120 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 60% 73 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 73% 45 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 56¢ and No at 44¢, a 56% implied chance of Yes. $55K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 17, 2026.
The smart money
60% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 19 points.
Who holds it
120 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $950 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is adenakoz1, with $435 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 231 markets (30% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $191 on No.
- Holders
- 75
- Money on it
- $4.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 1 · $191
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.9K on it
- 1RememberAmalek73% won of 1,128 · whale$950+$819K lifetime
- 2Plc5563no record yet$627+$30 lifetime
- 3probability31% won of 3,325 · noise$455+$118K lifetime
- 4DuneMentat74% won of 841$381−$12K lifetime
- 5suntori47% won of 72,055$242−$12M lifetime
No$2.5K on it
- 1adenakoz130% won of 231 · noise$435+$11K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$378+$203K lifetime
- 3anoin12359% won of 1,608$237−$4.7M lifetime
- 40x7272c0D9478Ef6447f48A20a7Db2839A61A4a67d-173522719331873% won of 112 · balanced$201+$20K lifetime
- 5FrozenParasite71% won of 1,432 · sniper$191+$244K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
3 more- Frank Chikane$31K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Loyiso Masuku$21K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Herman Mashaba$17K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?"?
120 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 118 of them. The largest Yes holder is RememberAmalek, with $950 on it, $819K lifetime profit over 1,128 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is adenakoz1, with $435 on it, $11K lifetime profit over 231 markets (30% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 56¢ and No at 44¢, a 56% implied chance of Yes. $55K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 17, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
60% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 18 points. A week ago, No by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 17, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.