Who's betting on “Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?”?
Smart money leans No: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 54 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.8K by 82 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 28% 53 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 29 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 17, 2026.
The smart money
28% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 54 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 47 points. A week ago, No by 56 points.
Who holds it
82 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $248 on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 2,609 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is archaic, with $1.0K on it, $197K lifetime profit over 1,473 markets (86% won).
- Holders
- 53
- Money on it
- $422
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$422 on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,609$248−$7.8K lifetime
- 2cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$28+$72K lifetime
- 3JordanMooney35% won of 2,631 · noise$21+$28K lifetime
- 4asdasdasdasdasdasdasd76% won of 241 · balanced$17+$23K lifetime
- 5Vexarusno record yet$16+$0 lifetime
No$2.4K on it
- 1archaic86% won of 1,473 · whale$1.0K+$197K lifetime
- 2lineth67% won of 662 · whale$611+$91K lifetime
- 3supahao80% won of 40$216−$6.1K lifetime
- 4Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$168+$570 lifetime
- 5whumpa91% won of 234$83−$8.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
3 more- Helen Zille$55K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money: No
- Loyiso Masuku$21K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Herman Mashaba$17K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?"?
82 wallets hold a position worth $2.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 82 of them. The largest Yes holder is macrosteaks, with $248 on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 2,609 markets (64% won). The largest No holder is archaic, with $1.0K on it, $197K lifetime profit over 1,473 markets (86% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 17, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
28% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 54 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 47 points. A week ago, No by 56 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 17, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.