Who's betting on “Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $996 by 45 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 43% 30 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 43% 13 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 17, 2026.
The smart money
43% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.
Who holds it
45 wallets hold a position worth $996 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is PS1990, with $71 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is varch01, with $427 on it, $45K lifetime loss over 1,163 markets (68% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on No.
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $244
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $752
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$244 on it
- 1PS1990no record yet$71+$0 lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$35+$203K lifetime
- 30x725f…c927no record yet$24
- 4cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$20+$72K lifetime
- 5Butho30% won of 10$15−$7 lifetime
No$752 on it
- 1varch0168% won of 1,163$427−$45K lifetime
- 20xc24f…220b52% won of 361 · balanced$124+$436 lifetime
- 3probability31% won of 3,325 · noise$103+$118K lifetime
- 40xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$86+$334K lifetime
- 50xd024…027eno record yet$5
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
3 more- Helen Zille$55K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money: No
- Frank Chikane$31K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: No
- Loyiso Masuku$21K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?"?
45 wallets hold a position worth $996 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 43 of them. The largest Yes holder is PS1990, with $71 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is varch01, with $427 on it, $45K lifetime loss over 1,163 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 6¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 17, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
43% of the money on Yes and 43% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 20 points. A week ago, Yes by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 17, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.