Who's betting on “Will Kamaru Usman be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?”?
Sports · $367K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $367K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
97% of the money on Yes and 13% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 84 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 84 points. A week ago it was split.
58 wallets hold a position worth $22 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is labistiiia, with $0 on it, $181 lifetime profit over 633 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $16 on it, $4.2K lifetime loss over 42,466 markets (46% won).
- Smart money share
- 97%
- Holders
- 54
- Money on it
- $3
- Holders' winrate
- 45%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 13%
- Holders
- 4
- Money on it
- $18
- Holders' winrate
- 50%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| labistiiianoise | $0 | +$181 | 30% of 633 |
| Lucerysnoise | $0 | +$281K | 40% of 106,992 |
| balthazarwhale | $0 | +$1.2M | 53% of 44,232 |
| e46m3whale | $0 | +$1.1M | 47% of 74,172 |
| YoelRomeroMMAbalanced | $0 | +$2.4K | 76% of 212 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes | $16 | -$4.2K | 46% of 42,466 |
| bulbnbobwhale | $2 | +$6.4K | 81% of 251 |
| pasporwhale | $0 | +$40K | 64% of 286 |
| tuterw | $0 | -$232 | 26% of 458 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?
- Shavkat Rakhmonov$203K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Islam Makhachev$34K vol.Yes 96%No 4%Smart money split
- Joaquin Buckley$22K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Carlos Prates$12K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Kamaru Usman be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
58 wallets hold a position worth $22 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is labistiiia, with $0 on it, $181 lifetime profit over 633 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $16 on it, $4.2K lifetime loss over 42,466 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kamaru Usman be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $367K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
97% of the money on Yes and 13% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 84 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 84 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.