Who's betting on “Will Joaquin Buckley be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?”?

Sports · $22K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

90% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.

61 wallets hold a position worth $10 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is Lucerys, with $1 on it, $282K lifetime profit over 107,642 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is bulbnbob, with $7 on it, $6.4K lifetime profit over 251 markets (81% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share
90%
Holders
59
Money on it
$3
Holders' winrate
45%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
100%
Holders
2
Money on it
$7
Holders' winrate
80%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Lucerysnoise$1+$282K40% of 107,642
balthazarwhale$0+$1.2M53% of 44,416
e46m3whale$0+$1.1M47% of 74,403
godblessme2026noise$0+$71K29% of 17,261
korda77whale$0+$218K42% of 5,782
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
bulbnbobwhale$7+$6.4K81% of 251
pasporwhale$0+$40K64% of 286
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Joaquin Buckley be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?

61 wallets hold a position worth $10 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is Lucerys, with $1 on it, $282K lifetime profit over 107,642 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is bulbnbob, with $7 on it, $6.4K lifetime profit over 251 markets (81% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Joaquin Buckley be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $22K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

90% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 10 points. A week ago, No by 11 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Joaquin Buckley be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo