Who's betting on “Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?”?
Sports · $12K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
27% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 29 points.
75 wallets hold a position worth $343 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 74 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc166…a259, with $35 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is saskesas, with $88 on it, $3.6K lifetime loss over 200 markets (71% won).
- Smart money share
- 27% ▲ 6 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 60
- Money on it
- $149
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 14% ▼ 9 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $193
- Holders' winrate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc166…a259 | $35 | +$0 | - |
| Kosherlocks | $34 | -$9.0K | 96% of 195 |
| nsqdcirt | $25 | -$1.7K | 60% of 354 |
| LornaPredictsnoise | $8 | +$30K | 29% of 10,707 |
| cowcatwhale | $7 | +$45K | 68% of 1,058 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| saskesas | $88 | -$3.6K | 71% of 200 |
| cigarettes | $55 | -$5.6K | 46% of 42,516 |
| Gaditima | $21 | -$454K | 49% of 10,634 |
| BobbyBakedBeansnoise | $13 | +$24K | 41% of 4,229 |
| 65sfdsnoise | $5 | +$60 | 48% of 134 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
75 wallets hold a position worth $343 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 74 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xc166…a259, with $35 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is saskesas, with $88 on it, $3.6K lifetime loss over 200 markets (71% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
27% of the money on Yes and 14% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 29 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.