Who's betting on “Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?”?
Sports · $34K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
66% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
141 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 140 of them. The largest Yes holder is elmcap2, with $2.4K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,083 markets (86% won). The largest No holder is GeepaP, with $57 on it, $145K lifetime profit over 224 markets (81% won).
- Smart money share
- 66% ▲ 9 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 85
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' winrate
- 70%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 65% ▲ 10 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 56
- Money on it
- $206
- Holders' winrate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| elmcap2whale | $2.4K | +$2.1M | 86% of 1,083 |
| 4751346whale | $1.5K | +$171K | 72% of 1,113 |
| speedTLT | $1.2K | -$201 | 67% of 21 |
| saskesas | $713 | -$3.6K | 71% of 200 |
| Meowie2kbalanced | $667 | +$607 | 52% of 328 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| GeepaPwhale | $57 | +$145K | 81% of 224 |
| BobbyBakedBeansnoise | $46 | +$24K | 41% of 4,229 |
| Snoopy121 | $21 | -$112 | 39% of 31 |
| Xyzeric | $17 | -$717 | 42% of 203 |
| JoGold | $9 | -$419 | 70% of 246 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
141 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 140 of them. The largest Yes holder is elmcap2, with $2.4K on it, $2.1M lifetime profit over 1,083 markets (86% won). The largest No holder is GeepaP, with $57 on it, $145K lifetime profit over 224 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Islam Makhachev be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 96¢ and No at 4¢, a 96% implied chance of Yes. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.