Who's betting on “Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?”?
Smart money leans No: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $34K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.7K by 68 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 92% 31 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
Who holds it
68 wallets hold a position worth $9.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xB4d16f0346538FCceE67FfCec5c233a35D1d4c60-1729427300518, with $234 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 51 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is DFK, with $6.6K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $15 on Yes.
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Snipers
- 1 · $15
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $8.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.1K on it
- 10xB4d16f0346538FCceE67FfCec5c233a35D1d4c60-172942730051859% won of 51$234−$15K lifetime
- 20xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$217+$334K lifetime
- 3Seldon2668% won of 208 · balanced$213+$25K lifetime
- 4mocamoca13% won of 202 · noise$143+$43K lifetime
- 5Gohst-75% won of 56 · balanced$69+$1.4K lifetime
No$8.6K on it
- 1DFK81% won of 771 · whale$6.6K+$42K lifetime
- 2naishz0r52% won of 58 · noise$746+$131 lifetime
- 3AlphaGang33% won of 3$366−$411 lifetime
- 4Lepolo66% won of 206 · balanced$354+$2.8K lifetime
- 5SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$106−$9.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
22 more- François Hollande$45K vol.Yes 27%No 73%Smart money: Yes
- Sarah Knafo$41K vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- Marine Le Pen$39K vol.Yes 88%No 12%Smart money: Yes
- Raphaël Glucksmann$30K vol.Yes 81%No 19%Smart money: No
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon$28K vol.Yes 93%No 7%Smart money: Yes
- David Lisnard$27K vol.Yes 75%No 26%Smart money: No
- Édouard Philippe$22K vol.Yes 81%No 19%Smart money: No
- Dominique de Villepin$22K vol.Yes 35%No 65%Smart money: Yes
- Laurent Wauquiez$22K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Éric Zemmour$21K vol.Yes 76%No 24%Smart money split
- Bruno Retailleau$20K vol.Yes 47%No 54%Smart money: Yes
- Gabriel Attal$19K vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: No
- Matthieu Pigasse$18K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Teddy Riner$16K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- François Asselineau$16K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: No
- Marine Tondelier$15K vol.Yes 22%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- Xavier Bertrand$14K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Juan Branco$13K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- Bernard Cazeneuve$13K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Michel-Edouard Leclerc$11K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Karim Bouamrane$11K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Bally Bagayoko$11K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $9.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xB4d16f0346538FCceE67FfCec5c233a35D1d4c60-1729427300518, with $234 on it, $15K lifetime loss over 51 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is DFK, with $6.6K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $34K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 20 points. A week ago, No by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.