Who's betting on 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot??
Smart money backs Bruno Retailleau: 81% of the money on Yes is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 41 points ahead of No. The price favours Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 93%.
- Markets
- 23 23 still open
- Traded
- $511K across the event
- Favourite
- 93% Jean-Luc Mélenchon
- Smart money pick
- 81% Bruno Retailleau
What the money says
The odds
François Hollande Yes 27% · Sarah Knafo Yes 22% · Marine Le Pen Yes 88% · Jordan Bardella Yes 11% · Raphaël Glucksmann Yes 81%.
The smart money
François Hollande: smart money on Yes · Sarah Knafo: smart money on Yes · Marine Le Pen: smart money on Yes · Jordan Bardella: smart money on No · Raphaël Glucksmann: smart money on No.
Every market in this event
the odds and where the profitable wallets sit on each- François Hollande$45K vol.Yes 27%No 73%Smart money: Yes
- Sarah Knafo$41K vol.Yes 22%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- Marine Le Pen$39K vol.Yes 88%No 12%Smart money: Yes
- Jordan Bardella$34K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- Raphaël Glucksmann$30K vol.Yes 81%No 19%Smart money: No
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon$28K vol.Yes 93%No 7%Smart money: Yes
- David Lisnard$27K vol.Yes 75%No 26%Smart money: No
- Édouard Philippe$22K vol.Yes 81%No 19%Smart money: No
- Dominique de Villepin$22K vol.Yes 35%No 65%Smart money: Yes
- Laurent Wauquiez$22K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Éric Zemmour$21K vol.Yes 76%No 24%Smart money split
- Bruno Retailleau$20K vol.Yes 47%No 54%Smart money: Yes
- Gabriel Attal$19K vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: No
- Matthieu Pigasse$18K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Teddy Riner$16K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- François Asselineau$16K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: No
- Marine Tondelier$15K vol.Yes 22%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- Xavier Bertrand$14K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Juan Branco$13K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- Bernard Cazeneuve$13K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Michel-Edouard Leclerc$11K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Karim Bouamrane$11K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Bally Bagayoko$11K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
Follow the smart money on 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?, as it happens.
Questions
Who is betting on 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot??
Polkyo scores every holder of the 23 markets in this event by their track record. The biggest: François Hollande Yes 27%, smart money on Yes; Sarah Knafo Yes 22%, smart money on Yes; Marine Le Pen Yes 88%, smart money on Yes; Jordan Bardella Yes 11%, smart money on No; Raphaël Glucksmann Yes 81%, smart money on No.
What are the Polymarket odds for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot??
The biggest: François Hollande Yes 27%, smart money on Yes; Sarah Knafo Yes 22%, smart money on Yes; Marine Le Pen Yes 88%, smart money on Yes; Jordan Bardella Yes 11%, smart money on No; Raphaël Glucksmann Yes 81%, smart money on No.
What is smart money share?
The part of a side's money held by wallets that are in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered the market.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.