Who's betting on “Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?”?
Smart money leans No: 94% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 10 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $26K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.6K by 40 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 84% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 94% 14 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 9¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
The smart money
84% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points.
Who holds it
40 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is iutwpfal, with $1.7K on it, $97K lifetime profit over 362 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $145 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won).
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $2.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $225
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.4K on it
- 1iutwpfal53% won of 362 · whale$1.7K+$97K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$198−$377K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$121+$28K lifetime
- 4spxtest48% won of 763$104−$702 lifetime
- 5ghorrock64% won of 33,500 · whale$41+$7.3K lifetime
No$225 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$145+$255K lifetime
- 2acc4202049% won of 865 · whale$51+$12K lifetime
- 3pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$5−$320K lifetime
- 4PPMT70% won of 56,626 · whale$5+$16K lifetime
- 5Numitus199449% won of 15,720$4−$28K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
3 more- 70%+$32K vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money: Yes
- 65%+$24K vol.Yes 45%No 56%Smart money: Yes
- 60%+$19K vol.Yes 86%No 14%Smart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?"?
40 wallets hold a position worth $2.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is iutwpfal, with $1.7K on it, $97K lifetime profit over 362 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $145 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 9¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on July 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on July 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.