Who's betting on “Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 84% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $28K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.8K by 58 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 84% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 59% 29 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 76¢ and No at 25¢, a 76% implied chance of Yes. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
84% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
Who holds it
58 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is molodoyy, with $634 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 643 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $160 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $301
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.5K on it
- 1molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$634+$46K lifetime
- 22B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$176+$97K lifetime
- 30x08DDed0f8397672D939EEC3f8a0125777d0F2555-177618262861638% won of 34$118−$321 lifetime
- 4chaosj8877% won of 410 · whale$96+$22K lifetime
- 50x37525cB351f53968Cb1177C1059C09bC25E69d56-176172322749479% won of 452 · balanced$71+$1.5K lifetime
No$301 on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$160+$203K lifetime
- 2lissartter56% won of 2,997$25−$287K lifetime
- 3lacuna-m155% won of 84$25−$6.6K lifetime
- 4BC00164% won of 56$25−$43K lifetime
- 5Fluo64% won of 513$16−$5.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
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- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?"?
58 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is molodoyy, with $634 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 643 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $160 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 76¢ and No at 25¢, a 76% implied chance of Yes. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
84% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.