Who's betting on “Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 80% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 41 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $25K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.7K by 95 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 80% 52 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 39% 43 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 1, 2026.
The smart money
80% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 41 points.
Who holds it
95 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $906 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is LornaPredicts, with $34 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 15,827 markets (28% won).
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $4.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $120
- Holders' win rate
- 37%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.6K on it
- 1X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$906+$38K lifetime
- 2Bersa120270% won of 124$806−$3.4K lifetime
- 3SingletonFamilyFund39% won of 314 · noise$667+$10K lifetime
- 4balthazar53% won of 52,375 · whale$663+$1.2M lifetime
- 5Investnow39% won of 343$565−$66K lifetime
No$120 on it
- 1LornaPredicts28% won of 15,827 · noise$34+$27K lifetime
- 2Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$27−$485K lifetime
- 3tradetosurvive145% won of 25,230$16−$217K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$6+$254K lifetime
- 5pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$5−$320K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
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- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?"?
95 wallets hold a position worth $4.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 95 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $906 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is LornaPredicts, with $34 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 15,827 markets (28% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 41 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.