Who's betting on “Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 90% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 51 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $40K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.6K by 176 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 90% 100 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 39% 76 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 7¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 30, 2026.
The smart money
90% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 53 points. A week ago, Yes by 51 points.
Who holds it
176 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 176 of them. The largest Yes holder is lamyk, with $1.2K on it, $20K lifetime profit over 320 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is Dr.PNL, with $35 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,261 markets (30% won).
- Holders
- 100
- Money on it
- $5.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 61%
- Holders
- 76
- Money on it
- $136
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.5K on it
- 1lamyk59% won of 320 · balanced$1.2K+$20K lifetime
- 2X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$772+$38K lifetime
- 3balthazar53% won of 52,375 · whale$657+$1.2M lifetime
- 4Contentious-Dinnerdate67% won of 1,087 · whale$383+$104K lifetime
- 5chaosj8877% won of 410 · whale$280+$22K lifetime
No$136 on it
- 1Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$35−$485K lifetime
- 2balabalababalabala75% won of 318$17−$58K lifetime
- 3LornaPredicts28% won of 15,827 · noise$9+$27K lifetime
- 4rocky4201150% won of 722 · whale$9+$15K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,234 · noise$8+$254K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Second-best AI Lab end of September?
2 more- Alibaba$16K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Meta$14K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?"?
176 wallets hold a position worth $5.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 176 of them. The largest Yes holder is lamyk, with $1.2K on it, $20K lifetime profit over 320 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is Dr.PNL, with $35 on it, $485K lifetime loss over 15,261 markets (30% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 94¢ and No at 7¢, a 94% implied chance of Yes. $40K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
90% of the money on Yes and 39% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 53 points. A week ago, Yes by 51 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.