Who's betting on “Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?”?
Finance · $39K volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
81% of the money on Yes and 34% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 48 points. A week ago, Yes by 55 points.
63 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dimpled-Foal, with $1.1K on it, $65K lifetime profit over 274 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is 0x92318178C4B81150570B7F780183048631d82212-1772371002898, with $5.6K on it, $65K lifetime loss over 214 markets (68% won).
- Smart money share
- 81%
- Holders
- 35
- Money on it
- $2.5K
- Holders' winrate
- 76%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 34%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $17K
- Holders' winrate
- 74%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dimpled-Foalwhale | $1.1K | +$65K | 85% of 274 |
| MercurioWisdom | $292 | -$4.6K | 100% of 4 |
| ng6000whale | $267 | +$41K | 80% of 969 |
| Albert 1953whale | $177 | +$258K | 86% of 212 |
| havarrawhale | $158 | +$2.6K | 62% of 191 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x92318178C4B81150570B7F780183048631d82212-1772371002898 | $5.6K | -$65K | 68% of 214 |
| cryptoincome | $2.9K | -$17K | 91% of 1,007 |
| Avamaxwhale | $2.3K | +$14K | 74% of 761 |
| AlAhmeda | $2.3K | -$100K | 70% of 1,290 |
| alihanyerwhale | $1.3K | +$1.4K | 69% of 1,035 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
- ↑ $6,000$1.4M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- ↑ $7,000$195K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- ↑ $5,000$184K vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- ↑ $15,000$117K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- ↑ $10,000$104K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- ↑ $8,000$77K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- ↑ $12,000$71K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- ↓ $3,000$18K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
Who's betting on What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December? →
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- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
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- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?"?
63 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 63 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dimpled-Foal, with $1.1K on it, $65K lifetime profit over 274 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is 0x92318178C4B81150570B7F780183048631d82212-1772371002898, with $5.6K on it, $65K lifetime loss over 214 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $39K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 34% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 48 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 48 points. A week ago, Yes by 55 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.