Who's betting on “Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?”?
Finance · $184K volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $184K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
5% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 87 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 87 points. A week ago, No by 86 points.
178 wallets hold a position worth $124K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 178 of them. The largest Yes holder is novv25, with $3.4K on it, $301K lifetime loss over 103 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is Avamax, with $37K on it, $14K lifetime profit over 761 markets (74% won).
- Smart money share
- 5%
- Holders
- 98
- Money on it
- $8.1K
- Holders' winrate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 92%
- Holders
- 80
- Money on it
- $116K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| novv25 | $3.4K | -$301K | 55% of 103 |
| lastminwin | $1.3K | -$10K | 57% of 7 |
| 131071 | $719 | -$26K | 20% of 71 |
| yzj123 | $651 | +$0 | - |
| AvidMound2949 | $495 | -$53 | - |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avamaxwhale | $37K | +$14K | 74% of 761 |
| Liquidifierwhale | $28K | +$188K | 49% of 1,125 |
| ronm238whale | $11K | +$3.4K | 47% of 371 |
| 0x74B4F9447B14b12308963FC048Ae363EB0756bEA-1769170826159whale | $8.3K | +$41K | 75% of 416 |
| Dimpled-Foalwhale | $4.3K | +$65K | 85% of 274 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
- ↑ $6,000$1.4M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- ↑ $7,000$195K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- ↑ $15,000$117K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- ↑ $10,000$104K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- ↑ $8,000$77K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- ↑ $12,000$71K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- ↓ $3,500$39K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- ↓ $3,000$18K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
Who's betting on What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December? →
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.1M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?"?
178 wallets hold a position worth $124K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 178 of them. The largest Yes holder is novv25, with $3.4K on it, $301K lifetime loss over 103 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is Avamax, with $37K on it, $14K lifetime profit over 761 markets (74% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 7¢ and No at 94¢, a 94% implied chance of No. $184K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
5% of the money on Yes and 92% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 87 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 87 points. A week ago, No by 86 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.