Who's betting on “Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?”?

Finance · $18K volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

58% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 36 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.

42 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dimpled-Foal, with $177 on it, $65K lifetime profit over 274 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is Avamax, with $5.5K on it, $14K lifetime profit over 761 markets (74% won).

Yes4%
Smart money share
58%
Holders
18
Money on it
$583
Holders' winrate
73%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No96%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
94%
Holders
24
Money on it
$13K
Holders' winrate
82%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Dimpled-Foalwhale$177+$65K85% of 274
umirinboet$165-$24450% of 2
JungPungbalanced$107+$3.0K64% of 187
jcbhfgh$55-$2561% of 36
1982ebalanced$21+$1.4K66% of 82
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Avamaxwhale$5.5K+$14K74% of 761
chriszyy3whale$3.3K+$51K95% of 298
amiswhale$1.7K+$62K88% of 342
ThanksGivingTurkey1001whale$948+$39K68% of 422
stupid22$401-$98K94% of 979
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?"?

42 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 42 of them. The largest Yes holder is Dimpled-Foal, with $177 on it, $65K lifetime profit over 274 markets (85% won). The largest No holder is Avamax, with $5.5K on it, $14K lifetime profit over 761 markets (74% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $18K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

58% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 36 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 36 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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