Who's betting on “Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?”?

Finance · $71K volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $71K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

8% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 71 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 71 points. A week ago, No by 72 points.

98 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 98 of them. The largest Yes holder is DarthTyranus, with $65 on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 65 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is JanAMEX, with $1.6K on it, $136K lifetime profit over 200 markets (95% won).

Yes1%
Smart money share
8%
Holders
34
Money on it
$128
Holders' winrate
40%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No99%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
80%
Holders
64
Money on it
$13K
Holders' winrate
85%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
DarthTyranus$65-$2.4K29% of 65
Pavellicus$26+$0-
spacejam9000$9-$4457% of 21
Cheezus618630$7-$73991% of 200
Dirty-Birdwatcherwhale$6+$10K64% of 206
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
JanAMEXwhale$1.6K+$136K95% of 200
yoyobb2018$1.6K-$1.6K78% of 1,033
amiswhale$1.4K+$62K88% of 342
magcidwagrinder$1.0K+$64091% of 236
OnliFibalanced$791+$43897% of 32
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?"?

98 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 98 of them. The largest Yes holder is DarthTyranus, with $65 on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 65 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is JanAMEX, with $1.6K on it, $136K lifetime profit over 200 markets (95% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $71K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

8% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 71 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 71 points. A week ago, No by 72 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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