Who's betting on “Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?”?
Finance · $117K volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $117K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
19% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 58 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 58 points. A week ago, No by 58 points.
271 wallets hold a position worth $36K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 271 of them. The largest Yes holder is DarthTyranus, with $120 on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 65 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is 0x8931…a90c, with $6.3K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 609 markets (95% won).
- Smart money share
- 19%
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $345
- Holders' winrate
- 34%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 77%
- Holders
- 226
- Money on it
- $36K
- Holders' winrate
- 84%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| DarthTyranus | $120 | -$2.4K | 29% of 65 |
| fiternoise | $57 | +$46K | 16% of 769 |
| purpleeater | $30 | -$1.4K | 0% of 3 |
| Salveta3 | $29 | -$40 | - |
| Varguitas | $15 | -$267 | 83% of 6 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8931…a90cwhale | $6.3K | +$29K | 95% of 609 |
| Jdsadswhale | $3.2K | +$8.9K | 76% of 115 |
| 0x4dC619aE8927Ee5116397b30c51758BCCBaDA26B-1766124948899 | $2.7K | +$1.2K | 100% of 10 |
| mmd-904 | $2.5K | +$29 | 80% of 5 |
| sanhu1grinder | $2.1K | +$952 | 91% of 116 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
- ↑ $6,000$1.4M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- ↑ $7,000$195K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- ↑ $5,000$184K vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- ↑ $10,000$104K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- ↑ $8,000$77K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- ↑ $12,000$71K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- ↓ $3,500$39K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- ↓ $3,000$18K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
Who's betting on What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December? →
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- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?"?
271 wallets hold a position worth $36K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 271 of them. The largest Yes holder is DarthTyranus, with $120 on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 65 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is 0x8931…a90c, with $6.3K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 609 markets (95% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $117K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
19% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 58 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 58 points. A week ago, No by 58 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.