Who's betting on “Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?”?

Finance · $77K volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $77K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

21% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 44 points. A week ago, No by 45 points.

132 wallets hold a position worth $27K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 132 of them. The largest Yes holder is AvidMound2949, with $92 on it, $53 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is Alegrandebig, with $6.5K on it, $12K lifetime loss over 1,224 markets (92% won).

Yes2%
Smart money share
21%
Holders
61
Money on it
$441
Holders' winrate
44%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No98%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
65%
Holders
71
Money on it
$26K
Holders' winrate
86%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
AvidMound2949$92-$53-
yzj123$56+$0-
Dirty-Birdwatcherwhale$45+$10K64% of 206
DarthTyranus$39-$2.4K29% of 65
Starryploughbalanced$33+$6056% of 84
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Alegrandebig$6.5K-$12K92% of 1,224
esports095whale$2.7K+$475K58% of 351
Betttttttttnn$2.5K+$30100% of 7
JanAMEXwhale$2.0K+$136K95% of 200
Jmngrinder$2.0K+$2.8K85% of 350
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?"?

132 wallets hold a position worth $27K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 132 of them. The largest Yes holder is AvidMound2949, with $92 on it, $53 lifetime loss. The largest No holder is Alegrandebig, with $6.5K on it, $12K lifetime loss over 1,224 markets (92% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $77K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

21% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 44 points. A week ago, No by 45 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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