Who's betting on “Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?”?

Finance · $1.4M volume · Ends December 31, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

19% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 67 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 66 points. A week ago, No by 65 points.

399 wallets hold a position worth $675K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 398 of them. The largest Yes holder is novv25, with $7.3K on it, $301K lifetime loss over 103 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is ronm238, with $208K on it, $3.4K lifetime profit over 371 markets (47% won).

Yes3%
Smart money share
19%
Holders
238
Money on it
$19K
Holders' winrate
57%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No97%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
86%
Holders
161
Money on it
$656K
Holders' winrate
64%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
novv25$7.3K-$301K55% of 103
lastminwin$2.2K-$10K57% of 7
jaybd$1.1K-$98-
pabon$978-$14K58% of 36
AvidMound2949$916-$53-
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
ronm238whale$208K+$3.4K47% of 371
Avamaxwhale$123K+$14K74% of 761
Liquidifierwhale$75K+$188K49% of 1,125
0x74B4F9447B14b12308963FC048Ae363EB0756bEA-1769170826159whale$45K+$41K75% of 416
Alegrandebig$42K-$12K91% of 1,218
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?"?

399 wallets hold a position worth $675K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 398 of them. The largest Yes holder is novv25, with $7.3K on it, $301K lifetime loss over 103 markets (55% won). The largest No holder is ronm238, with $208K on it, $3.4K lifetime profit over 371 markets (47% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

19% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 67 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 66 points. A week ago, No by 65 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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