Who's betting on “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?”?
Politics · $13K volume · Ends November 5, 2026 · Updated October 26, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 5, 2026.
43% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 50 points.
57 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x4B58168FB42fd47897696D6053e594C7C8eF4aDf-1759598553979, with $84 on it, $10K lifetime loss over 7 markets (14% won). The largest No holder is Te0n2, with $664 on it, $43K lifetime profit over 770 markets (62% won).
- Smart money share
- 43%
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $309
- Holders' winrate
- 40%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 94%
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $1.3K
- Holders' winrate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4B58168FB42fd47897696D6053e594C7C8eF4aDf-1759598553979 | $84 | -$10K | 14% of 7 |
| paddaawhale | $76 | +$286K | 58% of 1,442 |
| Quarzo | $21 | -$6.1K | 50% of 201 |
| kifakrecnoise | $21 | +$1.9K | 60% of 20 |
| orihas | $20 | -$276 | 75% of 4 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Te0n2whale | $664 | +$43K | 62% of 770 |
| Gambol-Rigginsbalanced | $250 | +$11K | 58% of 219 |
| prodsetbalanced | $145 | +$999 | 51% of 405 |
| 0opj4kuu4xb2 | $79 | -$14K | 47% of 454 |
| neverhackmenoise | $77 | +$10K | 31% of 14,068 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate
- Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems$337K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Lula, Eizenkot, Dems$26K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money: No
- Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps$19K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems$17K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate →
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?"?
57 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x4B58168FB42fd47897696D6053e594C7C8eF4aDf-1759598553979, with $84 on it, $10K lifetime loss over 7 markets (14% won). The largest No holder is Te0n2, with $664 on it, $43K lifetime profit over 770 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 5, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
43% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 50 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 5, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.