Who's betting on “Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $14K by 100 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 86% 57 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 43 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
This market closed on October 14, 2026. $21K has been traded on it.
The smart money
86% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
100 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 100 of them.
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $299
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $14K
- Holders' win rate
- 92%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$979K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?"?
100 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 100 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?"?
This market closed on October 14, 2026. $21K has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 14, 2026. $21K has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.