Who's betting on “Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $19K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.9K by 48 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 87% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 88% 17 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
The smart money
87% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 24 points.
Who holds it
48 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $120 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is 0x38d5…063c, with $424 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 808 markets (72% won).
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $324
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Holders
- 17
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$324 on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$120+$203K lifetime
- 2hwey346ed94% won of 18$78+$1.2K lifetime
- 3catalanpaths73% won of 240 · balanced$33+$33K lifetime
- 4LornaPredicts28% won of 15,896 · noise$11+$28K lifetime
- 5Tysha46% won of 8,616 · whale$10+$27K lifetime
No$1.6K on it
- 10x38d5…063c72% won of 808 · balanced$424+$12K lifetime
- 2allenzzz73% won of 236 · whale$371+$64K lifetime
- 3PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$249+$56K lifetime
- 40xfA071F1874ccc8d63Ae8F9a93B085d94C6e94EBD-178271293434866% won of 731$138−$774 lifetime
- 50xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$114+$334K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in #1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?
4 more- Donald Trump$91K vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Nicolás Maduro$21K vol.Yes 21%No 79%Smart money split
- Bad Bunny$16K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Lindsay Clancy$11K vol.Yes 36%No 64%Smart money: Yes
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$1.0M vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$888K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?"?
48 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 48 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $120 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is 0x38d5…063c, with $424 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 808 markets (72% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 88% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.