Who's betting on “Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $88K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.1K by 166 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 54% 102 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 81% 64 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
54% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
Who holds it
166 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 166 of them.
- Holders
- 102
- Money on it
- $128
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
9 more- North Korea$47K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money split
- Israel$33K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Lebanon$33K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Italy$31K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Japan$26K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
- Germany$21K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: Yes
- South Korea$17K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- India$15K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Russia$14K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?"?
166 wallets hold a position worth $3.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 166 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
54% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 27 points. A week ago, No by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.