Who's betting on “Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 24 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $31K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.2K by 61 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 71% 34 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 47% 27 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
71% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
61 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $26 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is crossx, with $264 on it, $4.7K lifetime loss over 173 markets (76% won).
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $101
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$101 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$26+$255K lifetime
- 25atka60% won of 228 · whale$15+$9.9K lifetime
- 3Kristinochka68% won of 169$13−$388 lifetime
- 4peepeepooppoop64% won of 1,563 · whale$12+$31K lifetime
- 5opa4aa61% won of 49$7−$589 lifetime
No$1.1K on it
- 1crossx76% won of 173$264−$4.7K lifetime
- 2TheWindKnowsmyName68% won of 490$155−$52K lifetime
- 30x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$127+$127K lifetime
- 4MrNoItAll90% won of 514 · whale$114+$38K lifetime
- 5cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$113+$72K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
9 more- Taiwan$88K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- North Korea$47K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money split
- Israel$33K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Lebanon$33K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Japan$26K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
- Germany$21K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: Yes
- South Korea$17K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- India$15K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Russia$14K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?"?
61 wallets hold a position worth $1.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 61 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $26 on it, $255K lifetime profit over 123,253 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is crossx, with $264 on it, $4.7K lifetime loss over 173 markets (76% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 47% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 24 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.