Who's betting on “Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 52% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $26K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.3K by 83 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 41% 49 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 52% 34 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
41% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
Who holds it
83 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is Hyperlong, with $123 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $382 on it, $432K lifetime loss over 12,108 markets (49% won).
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $423
- Holders' win rate
- 51%
- Holders
- 34
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$423 on it
- 1Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$123−$59K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$86+$255K lifetime
- 3GUINESS12370% won of 547$24−$59K lifetime
- 4NoPeeking35% won of 201$22−$18K lifetime
- 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$20+$127K lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 1Gaditima49% won of 12,108$382−$432K lifetime
- 2cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$349+$72K lifetime
- 3Robbb80% won of 489 · whale$284+$94K lifetime
- 40x36dAfd0ed99D902F8bDfe9e090ecDc48b053907B-176268842113674% won of 408$164−$2.3K lifetime
- 50x300f…d36661% won of 590$164−$321 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
9 more- Taiwan$88K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- North Korea$47K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money split
- Israel$33K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Lebanon$33K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Italy$31K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Germany$21K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: Yes
- South Korea$17K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- India$15K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Russia$14K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?"?
83 wallets hold a position worth $2.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is Hyperlong, with $123 on it, $59K lifetime loss over 1,296 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $382 on it, $432K lifetime loss over 12,108 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 82¢, an 82% implied chance of No. $26K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
41% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.