Who's betting on “Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 95% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 27 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $8.5K by 138 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 95% 64 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 69% 74 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 2, 2027.
The smart money
95% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
Who holds it
138 wallets hold a position worth $8.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 138 of them. The largest Yes holder is junkbonds, with $873 on it, $82K lifetime profit over 203 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $1.6K on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won).
- Holders
- 64
- Money on it
- $1.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
- Holders
- 74
- Money on it
- $7.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.2K on it
- 1junkbonds71% won of 203 · whale$873+$82K lifetime
- 2probability31% won of 3,325 · noise$67+$118K lifetime
- 3Chims82% won of 1,288 · whale$46+$83K lifetime
- 4Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$41+$1.5M lifetime
- 5D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC3893558% won of 935 · whale$29+$85K lifetime
No$7.3K on it
- 1cowcat68% won of 1,069 · whale$1.6K+$72K lifetime
- 2Hyperlong51% won of 1,296$877−$59K lifetime
- 3Gohst47% won of 1,056 · whale$652+$298K lifetime
- 4arbdiscovery69% won of 39 · balanced$588+$542 lifetime
- 5crossx76% won of 173$459−$4.7K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
9 more- Taiwan$88K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- North Korea$47K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money split
- Israel$33K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: Yes
- Lebanon$33K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Italy$31K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Japan$26K vol.Yes 18%No 82%Smart money: No
- South Korea$17K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- India$15K vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Russia$14K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?"?
138 wallets hold a position worth $8.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 138 of them. The largest Yes holder is junkbonds, with $873 on it, $82K lifetime profit over 203 markets (71% won). The largest No holder is cowcat, with $1.6K on it, $72K lifetime profit over 1,069 markets (68% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 2, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
95% of the money on Yes and 69% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 27 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 26 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 2, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.